The American Power Act: MARKET REVIEW


The American Power Act represents a key landmark for global carbon markets and the international corporate community. RepuTex’s Market Review breaks down key elements of the Bill, notably the inclusion of a ‘carbon tariff’ on imports with high carbon intensity, a component likely to impact supply focused companies globally, notably in China and Australia. A summary is provided by RepuTex below.

   

The Kerry- Lieberman Climate Bill (American Power Act) was released on 12th May 2010. The Bill applies different regulations to different sectors, with utilities directly exposed to a carbon price from the inception of the scheme in 2013.

Over 7,500 facilities are expected to be integrated under the scheme, manufacturing will be included under a cap from 2016. The overall target for the scheme remains at 17% emissions reduction by 2020. The Bill allows for the use of up to 2 billion credits of domestic and international offsets, including CERs (certified emission reduction). Refer to the summary below:

• Cost containment measures including a price cap of $25 and a floor price of $12;
• Free allocation of large portion of permits (i.e. 75%);
• Full auctioning of credits for utilities from 2030;
• Carbon tariff on imports;
• Compensation for energy price hikes for manufacturers and consumers; and
• 20% discount rate for CDM based offsets from 2018.

The inclusion of a carbon tariff on imports puts immense pressure on Asian exporters, notably Chinese companies, which will need to assess the carbon intensity of their products and subsequent carbon tariff costs. Given the carbon price containment measures which include a carbon cap and floor as well as a strategic reserve of allowances, RepuTex anticipates limited price volatility in the early years of the scheme. Table 1 summarises the important aspects of the American Power Act.

Table 1: Summary of the American Power Act

TargetMidterm: 17% by 2020 (below 2005 levels)
Long term: 80% by 2050 (below 2005 levels)
MechanismCap and trade
SectorsUtilities ( coal plant performance standards to be established)
Manufacturing/Industries
Oil Refining (separate cap, ‘Pollution permits’)
Excludes Agriculture/Farming
EligibilityFacilities emitting > 25,000 tons CO2-e (22,679 tonnes)
ParticipantsApproximately 7,500 facilities
TimelineUtilities: covered under cap from 2013
Manufacturing: covered under cap from 2016
Price Control
Mechanism
Price cap: $25 (increase by 5% + CPI)
Price floor: $12 (increases by 3% + CPI)
Permit AllocationIt is expected that approximately 75% of allowances will be allocated for free until 2028. Details regarding the exact distribution of permits are yet to be announced.

Manufacturing: free permits until 2026 coinciding with the end of ‘Transitional’ phase. EITE (emission intensive trade exposed)
approach for direct & indirect compensation.

Oil refining: free permits till 2026

Utilities have to buy all their permit needs from 2030 (other sectors from 2035).
CompensationManufacturers will receive enough permits in 2013-16 to cover
increases in energy costs.
Reserve (allowances)Strategic reserve of 4 billion tons of credits
Can be released into market to stabilise carbon price
OffsetsDomestic offsets: 1.5 billion tCO2-e. This includes agriculture based, coal gas capture, landfill gas, biomass emissions reduction projects.

International offsets: 0.5 billion tCO2-e . Offsets from CDM (clean development mechanism) projects have been included as well as credits from sector based mechanisms. However a discount rate of 20% applies from 2018.

Excludes offset credits from REDD (reduced emissions from
deforestation and forest degradation)
State & Regional SchemesThis Bill pre-empts all regional and State based schemes (RGGI, WCI, and California B32).
Clean Energy
Measures
The Bill allows $70 billion for clean/natural gas transportation over 
ten years. Nuclear energy expansion has also been flagged. 
 
Carbon TariffPlaces carbon tariff on imports
Consumer ProtectionThe Bill includes provisions to compensate low to moderate income households through ‘monthly refunds’ for increases in energy costs.
 
    Aug 10 YTD 1 Year  
  Global Indexes
  Alternative Energy Index  
  RTXAE -0.29% -2.16% -1.14%  
  MSCI World Index -3.92% -7.51% -0.45%  
  Solar Index  
  RTXSI -7.96% -24.54% -18.01%  
  MSCI World Index -3.92% -7.51% -0.45%  
  Nuclear Index  
  RTXNI -0.57% -7.30% -6.06%  
  MSCI World Index -3.92% -7.51% -0.45%  
  Australian Indexes
  Sustainability Index  
  RTXMQI -5.82% -9.45% 7.61%  
  S&P / ASX 300 -1.90% -9.63% -1.73%  
  Carbon Leaders Index  
  RTXCLI -5.95% -10.93% -4.02%  
  S&P / ASX 300 -1.90% -9.63% -1.73%  
  Climate Change Index  
  RTXCCI 1.90% -8.77% -4.50%  
  S&P / ASX 300 -1.90% -9.63% -1.73%  
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